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Good practice Imported

Aral Sea Seabed Afforestation Programme

Uzbekistan · Muynak · See the Uzbekistan profile

Evidence: Descriptive / self-reported Top 81% 33/100 · Ask Evidence Copilot about this practice

Uzbekistan's Forestry Agency has planted saxaul across ~1.7M ha of the dried Aral seabed in five years, employing ~150 foresters plus 300+ locals; World Bank models $39M/yr in benefits vs $44.2M/yr storm losses, but seedling survival is 30-70% and drought risk is unresolved.

1.7 million hectares
Seabed area planted (five years, per 2024 reporting)
500,000 hectares
Bonn Challenge restoration target met (2020)
150,000-200,000 hectares
Planned planting (2024)
~150
Forestry employees
300+
Local participants
360+
Tractors used
44.2 USD million/year
Estimated annual storm damage cost avoided (Karakalpakstan)
39 USD million/year
Estimated annual restoration benefits
30-70 %
Seedling survival rate
2-4 tonnes
Sand stopped per mature saxaul shrub (7-10 years old)
823,000 trees
Green Aral Sea trees planted (UNDP-backed, since 2020) (since 2020)
658 hectares
Green Aral Sea area planted (since 2020)
Aral Sea Seabed Afforestation Programme

Details

Maturity
Scaling
Promoter
Uzbekistan Forestry Agency / Ministry of Ecology, Environmental Protection and Climate Change
Period
2017–2025
Keywords
desertification control, afforestation, dust storm mitigation, national restoration programme

Context

Since the mid-2010s, Uzbekistan's Forestry Agency and Ministry of Ecology, Environmental Protection and Climate Change have run a national programme to plant salt- and drought-tolerant vegetation, chiefly saxaul (Haloxylon), across the dried bed of the Aral Sea in Karakalpakstan, aiming to suppress the sand, salt and dust storms that now sweep the exposed seabed.

Activities

Around 150 forestry employees and 300+ local residents from Karakalpakstan take part in planting, using both tractors (360+) and aerial seed dispersal; a parallel, smaller UNDP-backed 'Green Aral Sea' initiative, funded in part by the government of Japan, has planted 823,000 trees on 658 hectares since 2020, testing methods such as moisture-retaining seed treatments to raise survival rates.

Results

Uzbekistan met an initial 500,000-hectare Bonn Challenge restoration target in 2020, a decade ahead of schedule, and roughly 1.7 million hectares had been planted over the preceding five years as of 2024 reporting, with 150,000-200,000 ha planned for 2024 alone. The World Bank estimates storm damage costs Karakalpakstan about USD 44.2 million a year versus roughly USD 39 million a year in estimated restoration benefits; saxaul shrubs 7-10 years old are reported to stop 2-4 tonnes of moving sand each. Seedling survival ranges from 30% in low-rainfall years to 50-70% with adequate rain.

Conclusions

An outside specialist quoted in the reporting was explicitly uncertain how worsening drought would affect the programme's long-term sustainability, and introducing dense single-species stands across a very large area risks altering habitats and migration routes of species adapted to the open former seabed. No independently measured, region-wide dust-storm reduction figure was found to corroborate the mechanistic sand-trapping claims.

Implementation

Indicative cost
High (€500k–€5M) — Programme's own budget not stated; national-scale effort uses paid forestry staff, local labour, 360+ tractors and aerial dispersal over multiple years. World Bank models associated costs/benefits of the wider restoration effort (~USD 39M/yr benefits vs USD 44.2M/yr avoided storm losses) rather than the direct programme budget.
Time to results
Long (> 3 years) — Running since the mid-2010s, intensified over 2019-2024 (1.7M ha planted in five years); 2024 alone planned 150,000-200,000 ha.
Staffing & skills
Uzbekistan Forestry Agency employees (~150), 300+ local residents from Karakalpakstan, UNDP and Government of Japan (Green Aral Sea initiative)

Conditions for success

  • Use of tractors (360+) and aerial seed dispersal to cover very large areas
  • Selection of salt- and drought-tolerant species (saxaul/Haloxylon) suited to the dried seabed
  • International technical/financial partnerships (World Bank, UNDP, Japan)

Common failure modes

  • Seedling survival drops to as low as 30% in low-rainfall years, with an independent specialist explicitly uncertain about drought-driven long-term sustainability
  • Dense single-species (saxaul) planting across very large areas risks altering habitats and migration routes of species adapted to the open former seabed

Where it fits

Governance type
national government programme with international partners
Scale
national/regional (1.7M ha)
Income level
lower-middle-income

Commonly funded by

National / regional programmes

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Data sources

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