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Good practice Imported

California's Static Risk Assessment — the Parole Algorithm the State Said It Didn't Have

United States of America · Sacramento · See the United States of America profile · See the Sacramento profile

Evidence: Descriptive / self-reported Top 92% 27/100 · Ask Evidence Copilot about this practice

CDCR has used the CSRA actuarial algorithm to score parolees' reoffending risk since 2010, yet the state told lawmakers in 2025 no high-risk automated system was in use, disclosing CSRA and five others only in a June 2026 report.

Details

Maturity
Established
Promoter
California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR)
Period
2010–present
Keywords
criminal justice, corrections, parole, risk assessment, algorithmic transparency

Context

Since being written into California's parole regulations in 2010 (15 CCR §3768.1), the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR) has used the California Static Risk Assessment (CSRA) to score nearly every offender's likelihood of a felony arrest within three years of release to parole, based on static factors such as age, gender and criminal history, sorting cases into five risk tiers from Low to High Risk Violence.

Objectives

CSRA is intended to inform parole decisions by classifying offenders into risk tiers using static, non-modifiable factors.

Activities

CDCR itself has noted that staff can perform the CSRA evaluation manually, meaning the automated scoring is a choice rather than an operational necessity.

Results

A 2023 California law required state agencies to disclose their use of high-risk automated decision systems, and in 2025 the state reported using none. The Department of Technology's own June 2026 legislative report reversed that claim, revealing six systems already in active use, CSRA among them. The disclosure gap surfaced only after investigative reporting, and came the same month a bill to add guardrails on algorithmic parole decisions, SB 1248, failed in the legislature.

Conclusions

This is a cautionary, transparency-failure case, not a demonstrated success. A state agency reported zero high-risk automated decision systems in use, only to have that claim reversed by its own subsequent report; the fact that CSRA's automated scoring is a discretionary choice rather than a necessity sharpens the transparency question at the centre of this case.

Implementation

Indicative cost
Low (< €50k)
Time to results
Long (> 3 years)
Staffing & skills
California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR) staff, who can also perform the CSRA evaluation manually

Conditions for success

  • Accurate, complete disclosure of high-risk automated decision system use under California's 2023 transparency law
  • Legislative guardrails on algorithmic parole decisions (e.g. a bill along the lines of SB 1248)

Common failure modes

  • State agency reported zero high-risk automated decision systems in 2025, later reversed by the Department of Technology's own June 2026 report revealing six systems including CSRA
  • Disclosure gap surfaced only after investigative reporting, not proactive disclosure
  • SB 1248, a bill to add guardrails on algorithmic parole decisions, failed in the legislature the same month
  • Automated scoring is used even though CDCR staff can perform the evaluation manually

Commonly funded by

National / regional programmes

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Data sources

Where this practice's information was retrieved from, and when.

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