Implementation of the Heat-Health Action Plan of North Macedonia

The Republic of North Macedonia is a small (25.713km 2 ) landlocked country that is located in the middle of the Balkan Peninsula in Southern Europe. In spite of its relatively small area, the country has a diverse climate, with eight climatic regions. In the last 25 years, changes in the global climate have been observed. Analysis of the multi-year variation of the mean temperature shows that in the 1950s, relatively higher air temperatures were measured in all meteorological stations on the whole territory of North Macedonia. After this period, there was a relatively colder 20-year period (1971-1993), while in the following years the mean annual temperature was constantly higher than the multi-year average ( USAID, 2018 ). As reported in the third national communication on climate change (2014) , differences in the average annual air temperature for the period 1981-2010 in comparison with the considered reference period (1961-1990), range from 0.2°C to 0.5°C (depending on the location). According to the climate scenarios (based on IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios), the expected increases in the average temperature for the middle of the century (with respect to the reference period 1986-2005) are 1ºC, 2ºC and 2.5ºC for low, mid and high scenario respectively. For the near future (period 2016-2035), all the three emission scenarios consider an increase of the average temperature of about 1ºC, compared to temperature in the reference period (1986-2005).

The HHAP aims to reduce current and future morbidity and mortality related to extreme temperatures and heatwaves. In particular the plan, and the related warning system, focuses on the most vulnerable groups of the population: elderly, infants and children up to five years old, chronically ill persons, people who are overweight, outdoor workers and people whose socioeconomic status makes them more vulnerable to climate change effects (e.g. the homeless). The health care system in the country has an important role in developing and implementing adaptation, prevention and response measures to address the health risks related to climate change, by: Strengthening existing public health capacities for early detection and adequate response; Anticipating the consequences of emerging diseases potentially related to climate change; Raising awareness among the population about the possible links between climate change and health.

The Heat Health Action Plan (HHAP) was finalized in 2011 and adopted by the Government of Macedonia in 2012. As part of the plan implementation, a heat health warning system was put in place. The system is still active and works in the period 01 May – 30 September. Its operation involves the following bodies: a cross-government body (consisting of the Ministry of Health, the Institute of Public Health, the Institute of Occupational Medicine and other national relevant stakeholders) coordinating heatwave alert which is responsible for the activation of the related green (vigilance), yellow (alert/preparedness), orange (heatwave) and red (emergency) phases. It also coordinates with local stakeholders on measures to be implemented. a meteorological agency, which informs the Ministry of Health about an evidence of alert levels and operationally communicates the 24–48-hour heatwave warning, and a public health agency, which evaluates the effects of heatwaves in terms of defined indicators as stated in the national heatwave plan ( SCORCH, 2020 ). The warning system is part of the broader approach designed by the HHAP and it includes: Recommendations for reducing exposure to heat inside health and social institutions (and special protection plans for the most vulnerable groups of the population); A communication strategy informing citizens and people involved in the health and social sectors about protection measures to be taken during heatwaves. In particular the strategy refers to the above-mentioned recommendations; Long term planning for preparedness of the health and social care systems, including: planning and training of personnel, continuous improvement of health protection and creation of new green areas; Monitoring and evaluation of the plan: a recent survey (2020) was developed together with the Université Catholique de Louvain (Belgium). An application for Android mobile phones in order to provide heat and health warnings in a timely manner and related recommendations to the users.

North Macedonia took part in a two-year (2009-2011) WHO project called “Protecting health from climate change”. This was a 7-countries initiative (Albania, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, the Russian Federation, Tajikistan, North Macedonia and Uzbekistan) funded by the International Climate Initiative of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety. The overall goal of the project was to strengthen capacity in understanding and responding to the health risks of climate change as well as to develop the Heat-Health Action Plan. Within the project, a WHO study in the country showed that it is possible to compare the damage costs of the increase in disease cases and deaths that were not averted to the costs of adaptation. The annualized costs of heat-health adaptation measures were estimated at 12 million local currency units (LCU) compared to health damage costs (due to the increase in disease cases and deaths) of 170 million LCU per year ( WHO, 2013 ).

Lessons learned during the pilot phase of the HHAP (2009-2011) pointed out that: information on climate change impacts on health needs to be translated from the scientific research domain into language and time scales relevant for policy makers availability of national data on climate changes and related impacts is very important, as well as understanding major gaps in human capacity; all relevant stakeholders need to be involved and that their information needs may vary. More broadly, according to the experience of North Macedonia HHAP, strengthening health to heat-related impacts would require: Maximizing synergies with existing instruments and institutions; Preparing health and social care sector workforce to respond to health-related consequences of climate change and strengthening of health services to address climate-related events in a timely manner; Promoting consideration of the health issues and related responses within other sectors; Building capacity in the health and social care sector workforce. In this context, the Safety and Health at Work Act (Government Gazette of the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia No. 92/07) was enforced to provide the implementation of measures in the national heatwave plan to protect the health of workers during a heatwave.